This is a question that will get subjective answers.

Factors include - examples:
Battery quality at time of putting in service - even new cars may get batteries months old.
Driving style - how frequent do you drive and do you drive enough to offset the engine start drain, and other drains
Climate - park outside in Florida, no big deal. Park outside in North Dakota - maybe an issue. Summer in ND maybe kinder to a battery than a Florida summer.

In my 2013 FJ Cruiser (bought new in May 2103) my OEM Panasonic lasted until early 2021 (26k miles). I did not drive it much during the Covid fiasco. My other vehicle 2013 BMW 535i, bought new in August 2012, I changed the battery this past week (28k miles) - big 65lb 105AH thing.

So, your mileage will vary.

Edit: add details