Earthquake effect on buying new 4Runners?

NYRunner

Member
Hi all,

I'm just sitting here watching the earthquake and Tsunami in Japan on TV, and in just one of the clips the show hundreds and hundreds of cars and trucks being swept into the harbor~ absolutely horrific, and unimaginable to me as I live on a little barrier island off of "mainland" Long Island...

Seeing some of those trucks swirling around in the water makes me wonder if the *actual* cost-to-buy any 4Runners currently in stock (or safely en route) will be going up? Might this also have an impact on the availability of replacement parts etc for repairs/ collisions etc?

Being that 4Runners are made there, my gut says this weekend may be the best time to buy one for months to come~ before the full effects on their ability to manufacture and/or ship are even tallied...

Your thoughts?
 
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BBC News - Japan earthquake: Production halted at factories
Production has been halted at many factories in Japan, as companies assess the damage of the earthquake and tsunami on the north-east coast.

Sony, Toyota, Nissan and Honda are among firms to have closed plants.

Economists say the earthquake and tsunami could have a "profound" impact on Japan's economy - the world's third largest - although it is too early to make any judgements.

But they say the damage is unlikely to be as bad as the 1995 Kobe earthquake.

Macqarie Economics Research said that the epicentre of the latest earthquake was well offshore, while in 1995 it was very close to the city of Kobe.

It also suggested that the area most affected by this disaster was less important economically than Kobe, which was one of Japan's most important ports.

Capital Economics said that Japan was now "much better prepared for this kind of disaster than it was in 1995".

The Kobe earthquake left more than 6,400 people dead, about 300,000 homeless, and caused damage estimated at 10 trillion yen ($100bn at the time).
'Bad timing'

But Capital Economics also said that the timing of the current disaster "could not have been much worse" for the Japanese economy, which contracted at the end of last year.

It said a large part of the rebuilding costs would have be to paid for by the government, adding to its already large debt problem.
Continue reading the main story
“Start Quote

The company does not know how long it will take to restart operations. It depends on the extent of the damage that has been caused. We are still awaiting an update on what kind of devastation has taken place”

End Quote Sony statement

* Insurers' shares fall after quake

Its government debt is now three times the size of its GDP (economic output), and twice the level it was in 1995.

But Capital Economics added that Japan was better prepared than most countries for such disasters.

It also pointed out that although economic activity usually falls following major incidents, subsequent reconstruction work had in other cases boosted demand and helped the economy to bounce bank.

It said it expected the scale to be similar to the Niigata quake in 2004, which cost $30bn.

GDP fell by 0.4% afterwards, but then rose by nearly 1% in the following six months.

David Cohen, a Singapore-based analyst at regional economic commentators Action Economics, agreed.

"In the short term, the damage could even knock off almost 1% of the country's GDP," he said.

"Longer-term though, it will balance out, through the rebuilding exercise which will be positive for growth will all the construction taking place. It could turn positive in about 12 months."
Factories closed
Continue reading the main story
Production and businesses disrupted
Company Status

Sony


Production halted at six plants

Toyota Motors


Three group factories halted

Canon


No impact reported

Nippon Telegraph & Telephone


Restricted calls to some areas including Tokyo

Nissan Motors


Halted production at four plants, two injuries

Honda Motors


Halted two plants, one employee killed, about 30 injured

Panasonic


Assessing damage, several workers with minor injuries

Fuji Heavy Industries


Five plants halted

Sapporo


Damage at Sendai and Chiba plants

East Japan Railway


Halted train services in Tokyo area

NTT DoCoMo


Mobile-phone service disruptions

There will also be concerns about damage to productive capacity, Mr Cohen said, and industrial production may suffer as a consequence of the damage caused.

Electronics giant Sony has six factories - four in Miyagi and two in Fukushima - in the north-east of the country, the region which suffered the brunt of the quake.

"Production in all factories has been halted for now," said Sue Tanaka, of the firm's communications department.

"The company does not know how long it will take to restart operations. It depends on the extent of the damage that has been caused. We are still awaiting an update on what kind of devastation has taken place."

The factories mainly produce components for use in things like Blu-ray players, and all employees have been safely evacuated.

Toyota Motors said production had been halted at three plants, and also said that there had been damage to some dealerships, and that they were currently checking what the situation was with their suppliers.

Nissan has closed four factories, and said two workers had been injured, while Honda has stopped production at two plants and said that one employee had been killed and about 30 injured.
Power down
Map showing where earthquake struck

Further afield an oil refinery near Tokyo caught fire, causing a massive blaze.

And activity at the major port in the nearby city of Yokohama has been disrupted by the earthquake, suffering a loss of power at its terminal.

"At the moment they are trying to get power back but it's unlikely to happen today," said Boon Lee Lur of shipping company Neptune Orient Lines.

The city of Sendai in the north of Japan, which was the worst hit by the disaster, saw fires break out and its port overrun by the tidal wave.

The cost of clearing up the damage done could run into the billions, according to HSBC Private Bank's chief Asia strategist, Arjuna Mahendaran, and that is likely to add further to the Japanese government's ballooning debts.

But rating agency Moody's was more upbeat about Japan's capacity to deal with the quake.

"In a big economy like Japan, the impact of a natural disaster can be absorbed economically by the government and private insurance, so there will be no impact on government's finances and therefore Japan's sovereign rating," it said.
 
I made a map showing the location of the Tahara plant and the approximate location of the earthquake: Map link

While the plant may be shut down as matter of precaution, it does not appear any damage occurred there. The port also appears to be unharmed based on current reports.
 
Tahara plant is a bit far from the center of the quake that happened off the coast of Miyagi Perfecture. I doubt there will be any delays. Precautions probably will be taken but any significant long term delays I doubt.
 
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My guess is the biggest disruption will be in the process of getting trucks to the port and shipping them in the short term - the Tahara plant was not affected

Newsroom : Toyota Statement Regarding Earthquake and Tsunami in Japan / Toyota

The plants that have stopped production are Toyota subsidiary plants,including:

Toyota Motor Hokkaido Plant
Toyota Motor Tohoku Plant
Central Motor Corporation Miyagi Plant
Kanto Auto Works Iwate Plant

Employees at these facilities have been evacuated to safe areas.

We are also currently assessing the situation at our suppliers, dealers and the impact on North American import vehicles.
 
I'm sorry, but I just have to ask...IS THIS THREAD FOR REAL??? Massive destruction and devastation in Japan, with a great loss of life and the question that's raised is how vehicle prices are gonna be affected???


Mike
 
I'm sorry, but I just have to ask...IS THIS THREAD FOR REAL??? Massive destruction and devastation in Japan, with a great loss of life and the question that's raised is how vehicle prices are gonna be affected???


Mike

Amen Mike....

Had the exact same thought .....who the hell could possibly care about a bunch of sheet metal and plastic when so many human lives have been lost or swept out to sea...

:wtf:
 
Whoa whoa whoa~

This thread does NOTHING to downgrade the MASSIVE tragedy over there

I happened to be on here while watching the disaster unfold and reading a thread from someone deciding when to buy and remembered another discussing the scarcity of TE's etc and the thought popped into my head~ that's all

Feel free not to partake, but don't think for second one that I haven't spent the day horrified for every last soul over there and what the coming days/weeks may bring, and yes~ I do have friends over there as we speak
 
I don't see the earthquake being an issue, the Toyota dealers by me are overstocked with 4runners. I was at the dealership last week and the salesman claimed that they couldn't keep them on the lot, meanwhile I walk around the lot and I found 15 of them lined up.
 
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Don't make personal attacks. Thanks.

While this thread doesn't have the best timing, it can remain open as long as it doesn't get offensive, etc. Any more comments like the one above, or anything disrespectful, it will be closed.
 
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The timing may seem a bit insensitive, but this a 4Runner forum after all.

What it will do to effect their economy, or ours for that matter, and/or the delivery of all sorts of goods, remains to be seen.

All I know is I got my 4Runner 2 weeks ago tomorrow, and don't plan on getting another one for a long time to come. Dealers need and want to move cars and always will want to. They aren't going to hold on to anything too long just to make an extra buck because it will cost them in the long run.
 
In fairness to all, I fully understand B'klynMike and TitanPat's point~ and in fairness to me, when I first posted I (still) had no concept of how bad it really was over there, and neither did cnn, news.google or anyone else at that point....

Looking back and knowing what I know now? Insensitive would be putting it mildly
 
Don't make personal attacks. Thanks.

While this thread doesn't have the best timing, it can remain open as long as it doesn't get offensive, etc. Any more comments like the one above, or anything disrespectful, it will be closed.

My apologies, I just don't understand the issue here.
 
Firstly, my sincere prayers go out to ALL affected. Now to add to the topic;

1. Employees
-Confirmed there have been no injuries at the Tokyo head office, as well as the Higashifuji, Tochigi office, Yamanashi office, and Toyota Motor Tohoku facilities.
-Presently gathering information on Central Motor Corporation and Kanto Auto Works.

2. Production
-All TMC plants have restarted production.
-The employees at manufacturing companies in the Tohoku region, including Toyota Motor Tohoku, and Central Motor Corporation are evacuating to safe areas. The situation is the same in the facilities at Hokkaido as well.
-Currently, we are checking the situation of suppliers.
-Currently nothing has been decided about production plans.

3. Dealers
-There are reports that some dealers have been damaged, however we are still investigating the details.


Source: How Toyota's dealing with the earthquake in Japan
 
Japan's recent earth quake and 4runner availability

Any ideas on how the recent events in Japan might impact ordering a 4R.. I'm thinking about ordering one in about two months I guess.
:frisky:
 
i read an article recently that said Toyota was going to see what their part availability in north america was. It didn't mention anything about shortages, etc.

let me see if i can find that article.
 
I'm wondering how the recent events in Japan will affect JAPAN, the world economy, the US nuclear program and the environment. 4runner availability probably isn't on the list. With that being said, you might want to purchase one sooner than later.
 

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