Don't agree.
So let me get this straight -- in a free market economy, it's INEXCUSABLE how poor Toyota's investment is.... but that doesn't bear out in demand? Hmm, SUPER CURIOUS what is driving the demand, then.
Oh f**kin' wait a minute! Perhaps the short play is gimmick R&D, and the long play is dependability. And somehow Toyota has this figured out, and limits gimmicks for the sake of mutual benefit - better ROI for both themselves, and the customer.
And gee let's see. What kind of CAFE test runs at 80mph? I'm fairly certain that if you ask any engineer, Toyota or otherwise, you'll do better in a 5AT at 70mph than a 6AT at 80mph, where efficient falls off dramatically as a result of increased drag.
The AT gear rat race is pretty much strictly about bragging rights against other carmakers in sales brochures, and optimizing CAFE fleet mpg, based on the tests they use. And sure it will help you speed above the legal limit at 0.5 mpg better... but you'll add 10x the shifts over the years, from the engine straining between dropping to 5th anytime you hit a 1 degree incline, and back to 6th when it flattens again. And all those shifts will necessitate an AT rebuild much sooner than with way fewer shifts from just one gear less and slightly higher revving in each gear (especially if the engine torque curve is not optimized for low-rev, flat torque.
Mazda stopped at 6AT for their super-efficient SkyActiv engines. But they'd arbitrarily set the ratio based on close-ratio 6MTs, where shifting was user-performed shifting around the track was valued for constant optimization. But having had a 6MT Miata -- what a freakin pain.
So I can agree a 6AT in theory is fine. But a 5AT, designed for a use-case that involves probably the most incredible longevity/durability standards in the industry, 2nd only to the Toyota Land Cruiser, and in a vehicle that's not really supposed to be driven over 75mph (regardless of limit, it's just a truck designed for offroading, and average to slow highway travel), it's totally fine as is. And adding 1 gear, without touching the final drive ratios at both axles, the gear spread of any other gears, etc... is the basic reason they haven't just "unlocked" the 6th gear.
I suspect the 6th gen will just go to 8AT, but with a total gear spread, and a torque curve of the engine tuned to work really well with that spread. And possibly hybrid torque-fill.
So we'll see the 8AT of your dreams then! And not a minute sooner!
You're welcome to disagree with me, but...
- Before TNGA, the Rav4, Camry, Avalon, ES, NX, RX, Highlander and Sienna were all riding on platforms from the mid 90s. Looking at that list, some still are.
- The Tundra is 13 years old
- The Sequoia, Land Cruiser and LX 570 are 12 years old
- The Tacoma is riding on a basic architecture from 2005
- The 4Runner is now 10 years old and the platform dates to 2003
- The GX is now 10 years old
- The Lexus LS sat unchanged for 10 years
- Short of the new TT V6, ToMoCo's entire range of V6s and V8s is thirsty, outdated and inefficient
- Toyota is the last major OEM to implement Apple CarPlay and Android Auto
... so, yeah, they are reliable, but being "stubbornly cheap" is part of what has allowed Toyota to rake in so much cash. I'm not mad - it works for them. Until the TNGA era, it's obvious that Toyota was resting on their laurels hoping that perceived reliability would carry them through - and it did. Now they're getting their act together with top tier tech, platforms and engines, but the SUV lineup is the last to receive those blessings and they're all woefully out of date in the meantime.
Regarding transmissions, when you compare apples to apples, whether it's 80 MPH or 70 MPH or 60 MPH, more gears allows any car to drive along at a lower RPM than a vehicle with less gears. It's just the reality of engineering. Feel free to believe what you want. Lexus has been building 8ATs since 2006 and I have yet to hear about an LS 460 getting its transmission rebuilt any more often than any other Lexus. The Lexus 8AT is now the same one that Toyota uses - it's reliable, it's capable, and it's bulletproof. Lexus is now onto 10ATs. The other vehicle built to Land Cruiser-like standards is the Lexus LS, and it's been one of Toyota's flagship vehicles since it was launched - 8AT, hybrid tech, 10AT, twin turbos, the list goes on. I have faith in the transmissions Toyota is building regardless of the number of gears, so I have no worries about rebuilds or longevity.