I paid $37k for my new ORP in June of 2018, no big negotiation, $3k off MSRP was just what the local dealer offered as "internet pricing". Hearing some anecdotes and seeing this thread, I entered my specific car info into KBB and it came back $39k as the low end of dealer trade in, and $42k for low end of private party sale. Really? I don't want to sell, but I'm just amused that a new car purchase can be an appreciating asset! It's nuts, just like the housing market.
When I purchased my wife’s new 4runner yesterday the toyota manager was trying to get me to trade in my Tacoma. I bought it new in 2018 and he offered me within 600$ of what my OTD price 3.5 years ago (I do only have 16k miles on it I don’t drive much). That was without me remotely haggling with them just a strait cash offer.
I didn’t trade it in because I love my Tacoma but the car market is rather insane right now.