TBH, I've pulled and replaced the transfer case seals on our 2014 and I am disoriented by your pictures. You need to pull back the camera to give a broader picture, then the closer picture.
Based on the exhaust crossover pipe in the picture and location of your circle and finger point, I would conclude that we're looking at the forward driveshaft. However, your circle and finger point are well forward of the output seal on the transfer case and they are on the underbody of the truck, which suggests we are really talking about splattered grease from the spider gears or u-joints.
I will hedge that due to disorientation and need a broader picture with maybe some painters tape marking the spot. If it is on the output shafts, in theory you could replace it while the transfer case is in the vehicle. I think you need to drive it more to narrow it down.
All that said, pulling the transfer case is not a difficult job. Also, your leak is not bad, which would lead me to first try the AT-205 Seal Repair Stop Leak additive I mentioned above. I had a friend just try this on the leaking front different (output seal) in his Chevy and it worked.