Travelin
New member
. . .
But I just wish they keep the 4.0 and add a nice transmission.
Gotta agree with you on this.
. . .
But I just wish they keep the 4.0 and add a nice transmission.
Electric motors is a disruptive technology.
There are MBA examples of this, but the classic example is the telephone. When the telephone first came about, telegraph had a range of 30 miles+, while the telephone only had a range of a couple of blocks. No one wanted it when Bell first started, and only a couple of businesses that had office buildings close together bought in. Over time, as the capabilities improved, it "displaced" the previous old technology and pushed it out the door.
Electric motors (in vehicles) is the same. Outside of some NEWER disruptive tech, in a couple decades everything will be electric. Including tractor trailers, etc, etc. And yes that includes "off road" and towing/utility vehicles.
The problems with electric motors (for now) are:
1) Cost, which is improving by leaps and bounds for multiple reasons, scale, experience, competition, etc, etc.
2) Range. This is generally the biggest detractor and it too has improved SUBSTANTIALLY since the tech first emerged. Soon, vehicles will not only surpass the traditional ranges drivers have come to expect (on a 25 gallon or less tank, or even a truck with 2 tanks) but may in the future SURPASS the ranges we think are necessary now. Who knows, at some point we might see vehicles that run for thousands of miles before the driver needs to recharge/refuel them.
3) Weight. Obviously you can create a battery that lasts a long time and provides the requisite power to go fast and have long range, but the challenge is weight and volume. And THAT has improved as well.
4) Safety, despite the campaigns by the energy companies and auto companies, safety will be addressed and who knows, in the future, electric cars might be even safer than all the accidents associated with the entire combustible engine value stream.
The advantages that e motors already have over internal combustion are here.
Theoretically limitless power and torque, instant power and torque, quiet (mufflers? Who needs a muffler?)
Hell, all this stuff is coming, at an accelerated rate. In 50 years, people may not even be driving cars. We may all get picked up by autopiloted drones to go everywhere and land based travel may be a relic.
Just like e motor technology, driverless cars are going to take over as well. I envision that the only people who will be able to "drive" will be the wealthy. Everyone else will ride buses and transports and cars that are all managed by centralized computing that all but eliminates vehicle accidents, reduces traffic congestion, optimizes group routes and pickups/drop-offs, etc.
The bottom line is that we're seeing "disruptive" technologies that are going to continue and eventually push the old world out the door (just like the auto did to horses and steam engines).
I'm sure there are isolated problems.. But like I said,,, it is here to stay and I would be totally surprised if the next power plant you see in the 4r did not have it. The juice is very much worth the squeeze.
Finally, on a completely different point re: offroading, what do you think the fording depth will be with an electric 4x4 that has a battery in the floor pan?
[MENTION=75133]kgbagent[/MENTION] Honestly, probably longer than gas assuming the drive battery isn't used to "keep the clock running" like in any regular car with a starter battery.
Lithium cells which I have had in storage for many years are just as good as they were 3,4,5 years later with no voltage or capacity degradation.
In fact I have some cells out of a Fiat 500e that have been in storage for ages and the haven't lost any voltage and that.s across a batch of 40 kWh worth of cells.
Being "into" DIY electric cars, and 2nd life lithium solar storage using EV cells, its really opened my eyes into how stable battery tech really is.
That is truly impressive if true. Somehow I cannot wrap my mind around zero capacity degradation. I recall a R&T article not too many years ago that indicated a Tesla would "brick" after only a few weeks if not plugged into a maintainer. Then you had a $40K problem on your hands. (The cost of the battery!)
Electric vehicles will never be practical for anyone who does more than just driving to and from work. Anything else will require recharging, and there are insurmountable obstacles to recharging in as little time as it takes to fill a tank with gas.
Motor Mouth: More inconvenient truths on banning gas engines | Driving
.
Electric vehicles will never be practical for anyone who does more than just driving to and from work. Anything else will require recharging, and there are insurmountable obstacles to recharging in as little time as it takes to fill a tank with gas.
Motor Mouth: More inconvenient truths on banning gas engines | Driving
.
I love the performance of forced induction motors, but not for a company like Toyota-- where folks like most of this forum are not leasing, but buying new/used and keeping for 15-20 years.
You must be in IT since disruptive is the buzz word of the decade in IT.
The overarching reasons for government clamp-downs on efficiency go far beyond the illusion of "saving" the earth. But that is beyond the scope of this thread.
The repetition used to create the predictive programming that electric and self-driving cars are our future--and that future cannot be altered--is evident in your post. Electric cars appeal to the emotional type since it separates the driver from the combustion of fuels to produce the kinetic energy to propel the car. The electric car driver FEELS better since he/she is distanced from the coal burning at the power plant.
But there is another drawback that no one really talks about that I can't swallow with electric cars: store of energy. A full tank of gasoline with stabilizer could last nearly 2 years without additional energy. How long can a fully charged electric vehicle maintain its full range charge when not plugged in to that magical wall outlet?
Finally, on a completely different point re: offroading, what do you think the fording depth will be with an electric 4x4 that has a battery in the floor pan?
What makes you think forced induction motors can't go 20 years.. It's odd to me that this misunderstanding still exists today.
You realize that diesels that go million+ miles are forced induction to the 9s.. right? A gas motor can do the same if built right. Even Toyota has done it before in the 90s with the 2jz. And the tech has progressed 10x since then.
The answer is yes. We looked at other full size trucks while in the market for a replacement for our Tacoma and I looked at all brands of trucks and we went with the Tundra. I like the F150 but turned off by the thought of possibly having to replace the turbos and the V8 is only offered in their high end models. Plus the sound of the V8 is epic, I heard a new Raptor with an exhaust on it and it sounds horrible. I'd still rather have the bullet proof reliability especially since we tow and haul with our trucks. Just my preference
I just see the performance potential of electrics far exceeding what's even currently available in gasoline engines.
Adding a turbo is just something else to go wrong, and when it goes wrong, its $1200-2200+ repair. Its another possible point of failure in the engine oil system. It usually requires premium fuel, and costs more from the beginning. Yes it gives more pulling power up hills, and it may or may not improve fuel economy, in a performance vehicle sure.
While fuel prices have a big part in the 4R selling better than ever recently, another big part of it is all, other vehicles in the segment jumping on every new feature in search of better fuel economy, better acceleration, and more gadgets. People are realizing while that works in a hot hatch or other vehicle that never leaves a major city, all of those features are a liability out in the desert, or up in the mountains.
The US has lot of sparsely populated rural areas. I only see this model working for about half of the population.Electric cars are the future of most local transportation. They will be electric. You won't own them. And they will be self driving and available on demand like UBER. Then charging time doesn't matter. They go charge themselves when no one is riding. Range doesn't matter. As you near the end of the battery range, another fully charged car will be waiting. You won't recharge. You'll simply step out of the one you're in and into the one waiting to continue your trip. And the costs will be lower than owning your own car by a significant margin. There will also be a small portion of personally owned gas/diesel cars, but the primary future is electric self driving cars. The only current bottle neck is the self driving function, but it's moving quickly. Everything else we already have.
The enthusiast cars will remain.