My Experiment
So I'd like to update this with what's going on with my situation. To recap, I discovered my missing nut & washer Saturday and ordered parts online that day. Because of the holiday my parts were delayed. The washers showed up last night, but the nut won't be her till tomorrow (Friday). So I've been driving without a nut on there and monitoring the creep... dangerous I know.
Over about 150 mi period of easy regular driving, the bolt has backed out about 3/8" or around 1/8" for every 50 miles driven.
This causes me to wonder how long mine was missing before I caught it, because if it's creeping at that radical of a rate, then it couldn't have been like that long, because when I came across the issue it looked like this:
So I thought back to last Thursday when I left a buddy's house and immediately after pulling out of his neighborhood, started to hear a speed sensitive, thump, thump, thump coming from that wheel well. Pulled over to investigate in the dark and rain and saw that my splash shield was hanging down. Pushed it back and proceeded to drive and thought nothing of it. So [MENTION=77955]jdkilroy[/MENTION] brought this issue to my attention which at the time seemed off topic, but it got me worried and since I needed to do the splash shield repair, it was a good chance to check it out anyway. That's when I discovered the missing nut. Also, when performing the splash shield repair, it became apparent to me that the splash shield itself, just from the sheer flimsiness of it, was not enough to create the thump that I heard. So my theory is that I lost the nut then, and the weight of that hardware and the splash shield was what I heard. If that was the case, I drove the entire mountain trip, which was about 300 miles of total driving, without this nut. I'd say the amount of creep I saw would support this. So again, thank you Jon! Otherwise who knows if I'd have caught this before it became catastrophic. We're supposed to wheel this weekend to boot.
So after a lot of research and calling and shopping around, I came up with some info that could prove helpful to anybody that's dealing with this issue. The thread in question is
M14x1.5. I don't know if any dealerships will have this part in stock. My local one certainly did not. The Toyota P/N for the nut is
90179-14062 which was replaced by
90080-17208. Either should work in a parts look up. I checked Advance, Autozone, Lowes, Home Depot, Fastenal, and even my local fastener specialists Action Bolt, who normally has everything odd I'm looking for. None of them had anything. But I also stumbled across info that this thread size and pitch is used in lug (wheel studs) and nut applications.... Bingo! So I went to Pep Boys during lunch today and low and behold not only can you buy packs (in a variety of sizes ranging from 4 ea and up) of lug nuts in 14X1.5, but if you go into their fastener bins you can buy them individually in all different configurations. Got these puppies for $2.49 a piece, which is about what I payed for the Toyota nut, and they fit great:
Hopefully this info can serve useful to somebody in a pinch. If it helps anybody, then good. As far as I know SPC/Light Racing has yet to respond to the inquiry, but my guess is that they'll just add a line to the installation instructions stating "re-torque nuts to spec after such and such" and they're covered.
Moral of the story: Gentlemen, check your nuts... frequently.
And yes, I know I need to clip my zip ties :flipoff: