Best speculation of a 2023 6th generation I have seen

On a side topic, I recently had a chance to check out the Rivian R1S. Because its ground up electric design, the packaging Rivian was able to do is incredible. Huge frunk space, ample 2nd row seating and 3rd row seating suitable for those around 5'8 or under. Really well thought out fold down seats (although not removable) and the split tailgate came really clutch when the rain started to pour.
[MENTION=630331]KimchiJae[/MENTION], regarding the Rivian, it looks like Volkswagen is throwing some serious money into a dedicated Scout Motors South Carolina plant to build the new 2026 Scout EV. From the styling, the Scout EV looks like Rivian will have some serious competition from one of the top ten international auto manufacturers.

Rivian volume, or lack of it...

Rivian shares plunge again on weak sales, outlook | CNN Business

As Rivian And Lucid Struggle, Elon Musk Says Volume Production, Achieving Positive Cash Flow Are '''Insanely Hard''' - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) - Benzinga

Volkswagen Scout EV

Scout Motors

Volkswagen Bets an Old SUV Can Help It Win Over Americans - WSJ

VW-backed Scout Motors to build $2B factory in South Carolina | TechCrunch

The orignal International Harvester Scout, 1961 to 1980
International Harvester Scout - Wikipedia

im-781400
 
Last edited:
2025 4R is pretty much a Tacoma...with some changes. I am actually concerned, that a lot of you who are enthusiasts, are probably not going to get another 4Runner.

You're gonna get a new GX or a Land Cruiser. The 4Runner only might appeal to the most staunch traditionalists or those who want to save money. A loaded 4R will come in at $55-60kish I guess, to ensure it doesn't touch the loaded LC at $65-70kish.

I'd be happy with a 2025 4Runner that comes in just a little bit wider and around the same length as the prev. gen; with 2-rows of seats (good-bye useless 3rd row); and the iFORCE Max powertrain.

Use essentially the same dash and infotainment setup as the Tacoma (I could do without a big "TOYOTA" or "4RUNNER" across the passenger side dash, though). Upgrade the safety package to Toyota Safety Sense 3.0.

Simplify the trim levels back to SR5, TRD Off Road, Limited and the halo TRD Pro. Start around $45k and, like you wrote, keep the top end under $60k.

I think you're absolutely right in that Toyota's packaging will push more of the folks who hang out here (on an enthusiasts site) up to the Land Cruiser or GX, and they'll keep the 4Runner as more of the "mass market" offering for someone like me.

I'm holding my breath on whether I'll see my bZ4X order (which, overall, has been a dumpster fire of a foray into full EVs for Toyota) or the launch of the new 4Runner first...
 
Last edited:
2025 4R is pretty much a Tacoma...with some changes. I am actually concerned, that a lot of you who are enthusiasts, are probably not going to get another 4Runner.

You're gonna get a new GX or a Land Cruiser. .

Thanks for your continued great contributions!

Interesting point. The Tacoma seems far better than feared and it genuinely appeals to me in terms of features. I am starting to think in terms of midsize pickup anyway.


Now, Tahara-made vehicles have that special tibdit about them, but if the new 4R is not made there, then it loses the magic feel anyway :)

The LC to be interesting to me...I dunno. Aside from price potentially still being high-ish, Toyota overlanders are typically OZ-inspired whereas here in the US we make use of either crawlers or runners. Let's face it, most expedition vehicles here are just made to look good. Hard to find on trail.

Things like front wheel travel, variety of aftermarket suspension options + ease of work on suspension, and maximum damage resistance coupled with decent interstate manners are top of my list.

I find it hard to see either the LC or GX compete with a Tacoma in any of those areas except the interstate manners.

Cheers!
 
I'm not a fan of most vloggers but Kirk Kreifels had a decent video showing the new Japanese automotive magazine BestCarWeb layout of the new Land Cruiser Prado. The interesting thing about rendering, according to Kirk, is they have the rear window up swoop, between the B & C pillars, the same as the new GX. He also makes other comparisons in the video to the GX. Kirk is suggesting the render is close but Toyota would change out the front end / grill body work, depending if it is the International Prado or US Land Cruiser. To me, overall the rendering looks a little out of proportion and amateurish, like many renderings, especially the bad front and rear overhangs.

At 3:30 he has a table of dimensions and weight published by BestCarWeb.

Dimensions - 23 4Runner - New Prado/GX/Land Cruiser
Length - 190 - 192.9
Width - 76 - 75.6
Height - 72 - 74.8
Wheelbase - 109.8 - 112.2
Weight - 4,805 - 4,850

Ground Clearance 9-9.6"

I have GREAT news on New Toyota Land Cruiser (Lexus GX) Bigger, Badder, USA bound?! - YouTube
 
Last edited:
I'm not a fan of most vloggers but Kirk Kreifels had a decent video showing the new Japanese automotive magazine BestCarWeb layout of the new Land Cruiser Prado. The interesting thing about rendering, according to Kirk, is they have the rear window up swoop, between the B & C pillars, the same as the new GX. He also makes other comparisons in the video to the GX. Kirk is suggesting the render is close but Toyota would change out the front end / grill body work, depending if it is the International Prado or US Land Cruiser. To me, overall the rendering looks a little out of proportion and amateurish, like many renderings, especially the bad front and rear overhangs.

Those renderings for the Land Cruiser are a bit ugly. For the 4Runner, I'd imagine like the Tacoma is a mash up of the 3rd gen and the new Tundra, the 4Runner will be a 5th gen mash up with the new Sequoia.

For the Land Cruiser, I could see Toyota investing in a unique front-end design for the USDM Land Cruiser vs the international Prado despite being the same vehicle.

When Carmaker1 has been saying think retro toyota, wrangler, the bronco. I am really hoping for round head lights. I know not everyone likes the FJ Cruiser looks but I would be very happy with something reminiscent of this. Especially if we get cool colors like Heritage Blue and Army Green. and wow, those teaser GX side mirrors really are straight up FJ mirrors haha.

2014_toyota_fj_cruiser_1598414902ba7d308fca7c52014_Toyota_FJ_Cruiser_Trail_Teams_Ultimate_Edition-23.jpg
 
Last edited:
A loaded 4R will come in at $55-60kish I guess, to ensure it doesn't touch the loaded LC at $65-70kish.

I would be shocked if a totally redesigned 6th gen 4Runner, fully loaded, comes in at the same price point as the current, fully loaded 4Runner...which is $55K and can go to up to about $58K if you get really crazy with the factory and port options.

I understand Toyota wants to separate the LC and the 4R pricing but something is amiss here.
 

Hey, I didn't reply because I was a bit concerned this was off-topic. It seems like a lot of things about this car are turning out as I expected. It will get the powerful Hybrid Max in performance trim level putting out 350 hp with AWD. I'm discussing it in other Toyota-related spaces, but not here anymore as it's not 4Runner nor TNGA-F related.

4Runner will not share power numbers with this vehicle.
 
Hey, I didn't reply because I was a bit concerned this was off-topic. It seems like a lot of things about this car are turning out as I expected. It will get the powerful Hybrid Max in performance trim level putting out 350 hp with AWD. I'm discussing it in other Toyota-related spaces, but not here anymore as it's not 4Runner nor TNGA-F related.

4Runner will not share power numbers with this vehicle.
What Toyota related spaces do you frequent?
 
Sorry, I definitely did not see it. At the time was running around Costa Rica in a South Korean Peugeot lol. I responded to your PM but not sure if it went through as I can't see anything in my sent items. Thanks for the great info. You know you stuff!

Wow, hope it was a nice stay! Was it San Jose? Very understandable then, unlike some other posts that stay on "Read".

I'd be happy with a 2025 4Runner that comes in just a little bit wider and around the same length as the prev. gen; with 2-rows of seats (good-bye useless 3rd row); and the iFORCE Max powertrain.

Use essentially the same dash and infotainment setup as the Tacoma (I could do without a big "TOYOTA" or "4RUNNER" across the passenger side dash, though). Upgrade the safety package to Toyota Safety Sense 3.0.

Simplify the trim levels back to SR5, TRD Off Road, Limited and the halo TRD Pro. Start around $45k and, like you wrote, keep the top end under $60k.

I think you're absolutely right in that Toyota's packaging will push more of the folks who hang out here (on an enthusiasts site) up to the Land Cruiser or GX, and they'll keep the 4Runner as more of the "mass market" offering for someone like me.

I'm holding my breath on whether I'll see my bZ4X order (which, overall, has been a dumpster fire of a foray into full EVs for Toyota) or the launch of the new 4Runner first...

Yes, that seems to fit the puzzle much better. Will it be a challenge for them to stay under $60k? I guess we'll see, especially when loaded 2002 3rd Gens could reach $43k with every single thing tacked on.

Thanks for your continued great contributions!

Interesting point. The Tacoma seems far better than feared and it genuinely appeals to me in terms of features. I am starting to think in terms of midsize pickup anyway.


Now, Tahara-made vehicles have that special tibdit about them, but if the new 4R is not made there, then it loses the magic feel anyway :)

The LC to be interesting to me...I dunno. Aside from price potentially still being high-ish, Toyota overlanders are typically OZ-inspired whereas here in the US we make use of either crawlers or runners. Let's face it, most expedition vehicles here are just made to look good. Hard to find on trail.

Things like front wheel travel, variety of aftermarket suspension options + ease of work on suspension, and maximum damage resistance coupled with decent interstate manners are top of my list.

I find it hard to see either the LC or GX compete with a Tacoma in any of those areas except the interstate manners.

Cheers!

I honestly wouldn't be shocked if the LC wasn't taking luxury into account and more akin to the Tacoma. It's really going to be the name, styling, and capability that draws people to the Land Cruiser over the 4Runner.

They're making sure the GX is retro, but very modern inside-out to avoid them clashing. I am wondering if the new interior is reflective of the Tacoma? I am afraid to ask any of these people, because I should be thankful to get any answers at all.

I'm not a fan of most vloggers but Kirk Kreifels had a decent video showing the new Japanese automotive magazine BestCarWeb layout of the new Land Cruiser Prado. The interesting thing about rendering, according to Kirk, is they have the rear window up swoop, between the B & C pillars, the same as the new GX. He also makes other comparisons in the video to the GX. Kirk is suggesting the render is close but Toyota would change out the front end / grill body work, depending if it is the International Prado or US Land Cruiser. To me, overall the rendering looks a little out of proportion and amateurish, like many renderings, especially the bad front and rear overhangs.

At 3:30 he has a table of dimensions and weight published by BestCarWeb.

Dimensions - 23 4Runner - New Prado/GX/Land Cruiser
Length - 190 - 192.9
Width - 76 - 75.6
Height - 72 - 74.8
Wheelbase - 109.8 - 112.2
Weight - 4,805 - 4,850

Ground Clearance 9-9.6"

I have GREAT news on New Toyota Land Cruiser (Lexus GX) Bigger, Badder, USA bound?! - YouTube

I greatly respect his technical contributions in terms of his charts and for getting down to the nitty gritty with that rendering he put forward.

It's some other things I took issue with and doubling down on it, instead of correcting course (not even asking for an apology).

I really, really needed the connection between Prado and GX to be well understood, for me to make sense of everything better.

This video of his helped me greatly. You can tell it's a reskinned GX, but our US version will be more FJ looking. The older renderings heavily based on the 150-Series made me so confused and lost, at how they'd copy the 150's design and then bring it over here as the Bronco-fighting Land Cruiser.

That MT rendering is more 4R meets FJ, but you need to take the 4R out of it to get 2024 LC. Yet, make the 4R rendering from CarBuzz more Tacoma, then you have the 2025 Tacoma. A messy puzzle.

I probably don't even care about the Prado for non-USA now, since it is not what we're even getting in full LOL.

Those renderings for the Land Cruiser are a bit ugly. For the 4Runner, I'd imagine like the Tacoma is a mash up of the 3rd gen and the new Tundra, the 4Runner will be a 5th gen mash up with the new Sequoia.

For the Land Cruiser, I could see Toyota investing in a unique front-end design for the USDM Land Cruiser vs the international Prado despite being the same vehicle.

When Carmaker1 has been saying think retro toyota, wrangler, the bronco. I am really hoping for round head lights. I know not everyone likes the FJ Cruiser looks but I would be very happy with something reminiscent of this. Especially if we get cool colors like Heritage Blue and Army Green. and wow, those teaser GX side mirrors really are straight up FJ mirrors haha.

2014_toyota_fj_cruiser_1598414902ba7d308fca7c52014_Toyota_FJ_Cruiser_Trail_Teams_Ultimate_Edition-23.jpg

There's a bit of Tacoma in the new 4Runner. When I was mentioning it months ago somewhere, I referred to it as "with a twist". I meant Tacoma SUV to a degree. There are differences between the two, but the similarities have grown quite a bit.

There are some of us who know on here who might even know way more than I do, but at their own time, they'll share more of course. Mike Sweers posts on a Tundra forum and I think he does it incognito like I do.

You'll be very surprised at who you are chatting with in these spaces, which is why many of us don't do YouTube. The job doesn't allow for you to be vlogging, in terms of privacy.

The Land Cruiser has round lighting units for USA allegedly and probably is a moderately reworked Prado from the renderings, that just need to be seen in lifesize as the real vehicle. The renderings will get better and more accurate, as Toyota Japan gets more comfortable with sharing details and requesting new sessions closer to reveal, to get better press coverage.

I don't believe American media will get any useful info until press embargo begins and ends close to reveal. They're in the dark pretty much, as seen by Motor Trend accidentally rendering the Land Cruiser instead of the 4Runner they thought they predicted.

I would be shocked if a totally redesigned 6th gen 4Runner, fully loaded, comes in at the same price point as the current, fully loaded 4Runner...which is $55K and can go to up to about $58K if you get really crazy with the factory and port options.

I understand Toyota wants to separate the LC and the 4R pricing but something is amiss here.

Bingo, I really was skeptical when hitting submit on that MSRP guess...

Our good sources at Toyota, suggest to "stop worrying about price and get what works for you."

It means that these vehicles are probably going to overlap in price and like with the Lex NX/Venza/RAV4, they don't give a damn.

There's a pattern they are following and you gotta live with it. Cover all bases, to keep the customer at Toyota/Lexus and not their competition
 
Grand Highlander First Drives Out

Yes, I know a bit off topic but since we've been talking about overall Toyota and Lexus product portfolios...

2024 Toyota Grand Highlander Plugs a Hole in Toyota's SUV Lineup

2024 Toyota Grand Highlander First Drive Review: 3-Row Space, Max Hybrid Pace

Personally really impressed with the sound of this vehicle. A loaded one right around $59K may be a compelling replacement for our Disco Sport (have been leaning towards going larger to replace it). Very curious about the TX now also.

Glad they appear to have gotten this one right (and the Taco) after the meh Sequoia.
 
Yes, I know a bit off topic but since we've been talking about overall Toyota and Lexus product portfolios...

2024 Toyota Grand Highlander Plugs a Hole in Toyota's SUV Lineup

2024 Toyota Grand Highlander First Drive Review: 3-Row Space, Max Hybrid Pace

Personally really impressed with the sound of this vehicle. A loaded one right around $59K may be a compelling replacement for our Disco Sport (have been leaning towards going larger to replace it). Very curious about the TX now also.

Glad they appear to have gotten this one right (and the Taco) after the meh Sequoia.

I think the Pilot is a much nicer looking vehicle with a proven engine. I looked at the Highlander twice years ago for our 3kids, 2 dogs hockey life and ended up with a new Pilot in 2008 and again in 2015. Same as the Camry vs Accord. Honda does unibody better in pretty much every category. The Civic is a much better vehicle than the Corolla. This new GH might be the exception but I'm still iffy on whether or not I would trust the new engine options. I would probably take the RAV4 over the CRV though due to the turbo BS in the CRV.
 
I think the Pilot is a much nicer looking vehicle with a proven engine. I looked at the Highlander twice years ago for our 3kids, 2 dogs hockey life and ended up with a new Pilot in 2008 and again in 2015. Same as the Camry vs Accord. Honda does unibody better in pretty much every category. The Civic is a much better vehicle than the Corolla. This new GH might be the exception but I'm still iffy on whether or not I would trust the new engine options. I would probably take the RAV4 over the CRV though due to the turbo BS in the CRV.

I actually really dig the new Pilot Trailsport and agree that the Pilot is definitely a smarter buy than a standard Highlander. From what I can tell the Grand is pretty much all new minus the name which Toyota stuck with due to the overall owner loyalty built up.

That hybrid max power train in combination with the sheer cargo capability of that vehicle is what blows me away. I have two kids who are rapidly growing up and could legitimately use the 3rd row at times plus the nearly 53 cubic feet of cargo room with the 3rd row down is ridiculous to me. All while getting near 27 mpg.

It makes me really curious about the TX now though as I imagine there is going to be some pricing overlap with the Toyota. Loaded TX likely will hit $80k given competition and pricing of the RX in the higher trims though... I still love Defender 110s and even the 130, but nicely equipped they are $80k to $90k which is getting stupid.

I will mention that turbo charging is not something that bothers me as I have owned 3 2.0t vehicles now with zero issues related to forced induction. That being said, I doubt I would run one of my cars past about 100k before trading it...
 
Last edited:
I actually really dig the new Pilot Trailsport and agree that the Pilot is definitely a smarter buy than a standard Highlander. From what I can tell the Grand is pretty much all new minus the name which Toyota stuck with due to the overall owner loyalty built up.

That hybrid max power train in combination with the sheer cargo capability of that vehicle is what blows me away. I have two kids who are rapidly growing up and could legitimately use the 3rd row at times plus the nearly 53 cubic feet of cargo room with the 3rd row down is ridiculous to me. All while getting near 27 mpg.

It makes me really curious about the TX now though as I imagine there is going to be some pricing overlap with the Toyota. Loaded TX likely will hit $80k given competition and pricing of the RX in the higher trims though... I still love Defender 110s and even the 130, but nicely equipped they are $80k to $90k which is getting stupid.

I will mention that turbo charging is not something that bothers me as I have owned 3 2.0t vehicles now with zero issues related to forced induction. That being said, I doubt I would run one of my cars past about 100k before trading it...

Yeah, if you don't drive more than normal and trade in every 5 years the turbos will probably be fine. I'm still waiting to see how these new hybrids are designed. The RAV4 hybrid has a terrible corrosion issue with the rear electric cable connector at the rear motor. Salt and water gets trapped and corrodes the cable costing $7000 to fix. Rav owners in Canada had to launch a class action lawsuit to get some relief.

The price of the GH is very high. The base GH is more expensive than a 4Runner TRD OR. I'm in Canada so the prices might be a bit different in the states with how they compare to other models but it looks like a base GH is the same price as the Pilot Trail Sport, which IMO looks way better than the GH. I would say we are looking at a $10,000 price increase for the 6th gen 4Runner.

I know inflation is running high and interest rates are as well. But salaries aren't increasing at the same rate. Mortgage payments are going up and the daily expenses like food and gas are 10%+ higher. I can't see how people who are used to driving a 3 row SUV are going to be able to afford to buy the new versions like the GH. Unless people start stepping down in trim levels or models. The top trim GH is now as expensive as an Acura MDX.
 
I would say we are looking at a $10,000 price increase for the 6th gen 4Runner.
With the economy shaky and a loyal 4Runner customer base, I don't think Toyota wants to alienate a large percentage of repeat 4Runner customers by driving them away with an extreme price increase.

I think it is reasonable to assume we will see a standard year over year refreshed model price increase, 3% - 5%. To do otherwise would mean increased advertising costs to replace the lost loyal customers who are themselves free advertising.

Toyota ranks highest among mass market SUV brands with a 63.6% loyalty rate.
https://www.jdpower.com/business/press-releases/2022-us-automotive-brand-loyalty-study
 
On a side topic, I recently had a chance to check out the Rivian R1S. Because its ground up electric design, the packaging Rivian was able to do is incredible. Huge frunk space, ample 2nd row seating and 3rd row seating suitable for those around 5'8 or under. Really well thought out fold down seats (although not removable) and the split tailgate came really clutch when the rain started to pour.
On another side note about Rivian...

Rivian R1T Owner's $42,000 Repair Bill — The Shocking Cost Of A Minor Fender Bender On A $73,000 Electric Truck

Normally vehicles have "crumple zones", it seems Rivian is using the entire chassis for a crumple zone, in other words, there really isn't one, if I understand the article correctly.
 
Last edited:
Yeah, if you don't drive more than normal and trade in every 5 years the turbos will probably be fine. I'm still waiting to see how these new hybrids are designed. The RAV4 hybrid has a terrible corrosion issue with the rear electric cable connector at the rear motor. Salt and water gets trapped and corrodes the cable costing $7000 to fix. Rav owners in Canada had to launch a class action lawsuit to get some relief.

The price of the GH is very high. The base GH is more expensive than a 4Runner TRD OR. I'm in Canada so the prices might be a bit different in the states with how they compare to other models but it looks like a base GH is the same price as the Pilot Trail Sport, which IMO looks way better than the GH. I would say we are looking at a $10,000 price increase for the 6th gen 4Runner.

I know inflation is running high and interest rates are as well. But salaries aren't increasing at the same rate. Mortgage payments are going up and the daily expenses like food and gas are 10%+ higher. I can't see how people who are used to driving a 3 row SUV are going to be able to afford to buy the new versions like the GH. Unless people start stepping down in trim levels or models. The top trim GH is now as expensive as an Acura MDX.

Pricing in the US looks like basically starting around $44K up to about $59K fully loaded for a Platinum Hybrid Max.

How Much Is a 2024 Toyota Grand Highlander SUV?

Part of me kind of agrees that the lower trim lines are not that great on pricing when you line them up against vehicles like the Pilot, Telluride and Palisade. To me the Hybrid-Max powertrain is pretty unique though and I don't think anything else out there other than maybe an Explorer ST which can easily run into the mid to high $50K range, and arguably the CX90 now (but it's a much smaller vehicle with regards to interior space).

I completely agree about vehicle prices being out of control, but look at the US fullsize truck market. People keep paying for these vehicles even when I bet 90% or more of them don't really need one. Part of the reason over 20% of car payments have moved up over $1000 a month now in the US definitely. Consumers seem content spending larger and larger proportions of their income on vehicles, but I agree something has to give sooner or later. Inventory returning to somewhat normal levels does seem to be holding or pushing down average transaction prices as more factory incentives are coming back into play. If we do go recessionary for the 2nd half of the year; I imagine we could see supply further catch up to (and perhaps outstrip) demand.

I do think these high trim level "mainstream" vehicles get interesting when cross shopping versus luxury makes as you are mentioning. It all really comes down to what you want to pay for I think.
 
On another side note about Rivian...

Rivian R1T Owner's $42,000 Repair Bill — The Shocking Cost Of A Minor Fender Bender On A $73,000 Electric Truck

Normally vehicles have "crumple zones", it seems Rivian is using the entire chassis for a crumple zone, in other words, there really isn't one, if I understand the article correctly.

Same problem at Tesla apparently with the batteries so integrated into the chasis that repair costs can get completley out of control:

Teslas are so expensive to repair, insurers are writing them off - Autoblog

I know I've read that some insurers are getting gun-shy on even insuring the vehicles (and customers are definitely paying for the high repair costs in their insurance premiums).
 
Yes, I know a bit off topic but since we've been talking about overall Toyota and Lexus product portfolios...

2024 Toyota Grand Highlander Plugs a Hole in Toyota's SUV Lineup

2024 Toyota Grand Highlander First Drive Review: 3-Row Space, Max Hybrid Pace

The road noise in the MT video was very noticeable. I was hoping they would do a better job insulating the GH than they did the Rav, but it's clear they didn't.
Too bad. I'll test drive one to validate it, but more than likely, the GH just fell of my list.
How Toyota keeps failing at this is beyond me. Our crap Hyundai Tucson was better insulated than our Rav.
 
The road noise in the MT video was very noticeable. I was hoping they would do a better job insulating the GH than they did the Rav, but it's clear they didn't.
Too bad. I'll test drive one to validate it, but more than likely, the GH just fell of my list.
How Toyota keeps failing at this is beyond me. Our crap Hyundai Tucson was better insulated than our Rav.

I didn't even notice it, but 6 years of 4Runner ownership after 4+ years of Jeep Wrangler Unlimited ownership has probably made me pretty used to road noise. :) My Rover is pretty quiet, but I actually think the last really quiet car I had was a 1999 Acura 3.2 TL.
 
Pricing in the US looks like basically starting around $44K up to about $59K fully loaded for a Platinum Hybrid Max.

How Much Is a 2024 Toyota Grand Highlander SUV?

Part of me kind of agrees that the lower trim lines are not that great on pricing when you line them up against vehicles like the Pilot, Telluride and Palisade. To me the Hybrid-Max powertrain is pretty unique though and I don't think anything else out there other than maybe an Explorer ST which can easily run into the mid to high $50K range, and arguably the CX90 now (but it's a much smaller vehicle with regards to interior space).

I completely agree about vehicle prices being out of control, but look at the US fullsize truck market. People keep paying for these vehicles even when I bet 90% or more of them don't really need one. Part of the reason over 20% of car payments have moved up over $1000 a month now in the US definitely. Consumers seem content spending larger and larger proportions of their income on vehicles, but I agree something has to give sooner or later. Inventory returning to somewhat normal levels does seem to be holding or pushing down average transaction prices as more factory incentives are coming back into play. If we do go recessionary for the 2nd half of the year; I imagine we could see supply further catch up to (and perhaps outstrip) demand.

I do think these high trim level "mainstream" vehicles get interesting when cross shopping versus luxury makes as you are mentioning. It all really comes down to what you want to pay for I think.

It sure feels like something has to give in the car market and rapid inflation on prices. I'm not sure what that looks like or when. But the pricing is going up so fast that I struggle to see this continuing for much longer. Especially at the same time I see the Model Y dropping price to start overlapping a Rav4. Things are getting a bit distorted. It's got to be pushing people out of the market. It's enough to keep me from buying a new Tundra. We may end up buying a Model Y to replace our RX350. The insurance issue is one of the big hurdles to me pulling the trigger. The insurance premium over the RX is more than the fuel cost savings would be. The home charging part is really compelling now that I have to commute to work regularly. I'd rather have a new GX550 or possibly a new Land Cruiser, but I don't think I'll be willing to spend $80K+ on the GX or $75k on the Land Cruiser.
 
Last edited:

Members online

Forum statistics

Threads
278,317
Messages
3,554,129
Members
248,016
Latest member
Advally Service

Trending content

Back
Top