Thanks for the analysis. I agree that this is a perfect storm for relatively short base IFS. I am not sure which spot you are referring to, however.
As of last week, the one that made me think is the one I think the 4Runner on the OP flopped. But the FJ linked above seems to have flopped on the second rough spot, which is very straightforward actually: you just drive straight down the biggest hump in the rock, meaning straight down in direction of the drop which is a bit sideways to the trail. There is no problem unless you get fancy. There is enough room to go down straight without any tilt and then straighten the vehicle which is not true of the first spot.
However, the first spot, which does not have a 2 ft drop off, is the tricky one. It does not look bad to the uninitiated eye--my wife did not think much of it--but I hated it from first sight. It is all undulating and generally tilted towards the edge. Looking from the front of it, I actually taught the far right should do it just fine even with a constantly tilted vehicle. But from the driver spot I hated that idea so I changed my line completely.
This is one way through it but not what I did; it is a couple years old video:
Stock 4Runner on Black Bear Pass - YouTube
I did not lift any wheels. I don't have KDSS but I have stock front travel thanks to small lift from 6112 and I have +1 in the rear. Have not had any stability issues with this setup, including on 550.
But my line was a twisty one, hankering back to my Subaru days except with a high alert for roll. I went along the axis of the trail then along the axis of the drop as much as I could then veered pax side and gave it just a little gas as the front was where it needed to be. I have a video from the back and the rear pax wheel comes close to lifting but never does (so a stock one would have lifted).
4Runners with compromised front wheel travel should avoid the Black Bear altogether. Also, note that the FJ has the wheels ever so slightly turned the wrong way, opposite the drop. That probably explains the quick debacle from an apparently stable state.
I also have some 300lb of armor underneath and nothing on the top.
But yeah first time I felt limited in the 4R on a spot that a Wrangler would not notice. I spotted a Rubi on 37s down the rocky switchback as he was inexperienced, but he did not have any idea that this spot gave me food for thought. He just waited for me right before the switchback.