scott78945
Member
I would like to say that the pressure is coming from the automakers but who knows. Interesting article though...
Gas may be headed back near $2
Industry analyst sees prices between $2 and $2.50 by Thanksgiving.
August 30 2006: 12:12 PM EDT
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The recent drop in prices at the pump could pick up steam, driving gasoline sharply lower in coming months.
"I'd say $2 to $2.50," said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service. "Once you get past Sept. 15, it's really a downhill game."
Special Reportfull coverage
Bailing on Big Oil
Oil sinks back near $69
OPEC chief: Prices 'satisfactory'
Betting billions on natural gas
People pay for the high costs of moving oil from sea to land. CNN's Becky Anderson reports (August 29)
Kloza said so far the average cost of a gallon of gas peaked this year at $3.036 on Aug. 10 and has come down largely due to diminishing hurricane fears.
"There's just nothing happening in the tropics, and the market had priced in all sorts of calamities," he said.
The motorist organization AAA reported a nationwide average of $2.82 Tuesday, the lowest since April 20.
Online gasoline price survey site Gasbuddy.com shows Wednesday's national average at $2.80.
Another analyst pointed to a 60-cent drop in wholesale and spot prices the last few weeks, noting consumers should see a similar drop in retail prices in the coming few weeks as the decline works its way through the market.
The drop in wholesale and spot prices would translate to retail gasoline prices of around $2.50 to $2.60 a gallon, analysts said.
"The levels that were in place were never justified to begin with," said Mark Gilman, an analyst with The Benchmark Co. "This is a bit of a return to reality."
Gilman said retail gasoline prices of around $2 a gallon by Thanksgiving were certainly possible, although not likely.
He said crude prices would need to drop by about $20 a barrel to have that effect, and he just didn't see any major catalyst that would cause such a decline over the next three months.
Kloza said several factors are behind the recent gasoline price declines: the end of the summer driving season, which reduces consumer demand for gasoline as well as the end of seasonal federal requirements on gas that makes the cost of importing and refining it cheaper.
Little big cars ...
The price of gasoline's main component, crude oil, has also been falling in recent days.
Crude oil, accounting for about half the price of gasoline, closed below $70 a barrel Tuesday for the first time since June 20.
Oil fell further Wednesday after a government report indicated surprising growth in oil and gasoline inventories.
Gas may be headed back near $2
Industry analyst sees prices between $2 and $2.50 by Thanksgiving.
August 30 2006: 12:12 PM EDT
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The recent drop in prices at the pump could pick up steam, driving gasoline sharply lower in coming months.
"I'd say $2 to $2.50," said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service. "Once you get past Sept. 15, it's really a downhill game."
Special Reportfull coverage
Bailing on Big Oil
Oil sinks back near $69
OPEC chief: Prices 'satisfactory'
Betting billions on natural gas
People pay for the high costs of moving oil from sea to land. CNN's Becky Anderson reports (August 29)
Kloza said so far the average cost of a gallon of gas peaked this year at $3.036 on Aug. 10 and has come down largely due to diminishing hurricane fears.
"There's just nothing happening in the tropics, and the market had priced in all sorts of calamities," he said.
The motorist organization AAA reported a nationwide average of $2.82 Tuesday, the lowest since April 20.
Online gasoline price survey site Gasbuddy.com shows Wednesday's national average at $2.80.
Another analyst pointed to a 60-cent drop in wholesale and spot prices the last few weeks, noting consumers should see a similar drop in retail prices in the coming few weeks as the decline works its way through the market.
The drop in wholesale and spot prices would translate to retail gasoline prices of around $2.50 to $2.60 a gallon, analysts said.
"The levels that were in place were never justified to begin with," said Mark Gilman, an analyst with The Benchmark Co. "This is a bit of a return to reality."
Gilman said retail gasoline prices of around $2 a gallon by Thanksgiving were certainly possible, although not likely.
He said crude prices would need to drop by about $20 a barrel to have that effect, and he just didn't see any major catalyst that would cause such a decline over the next three months.
Kloza said several factors are behind the recent gasoline price declines: the end of the summer driving season, which reduces consumer demand for gasoline as well as the end of seasonal federal requirements on gas that makes the cost of importing and refining it cheaper.
Little big cars ...
The price of gasoline's main component, crude oil, has also been falling in recent days.
Crude oil, accounting for about half the price of gasoline, closed below $70 a barrel Tuesday for the first time since June 20.
Oil fell further Wednesday after a government report indicated surprising growth in oil and gasoline inventories.
just as a snack.
