1engineer
Moderator
Please take forum posts (mine included) like [MENTION=114416]Gecko[/MENTION] is doing with caution. While there are elements of truth to his posts there is quite a bit of misinformation and conjecture too. If you know anything about vehicle planning then you would know that sure, the 6th gen was not green lighted until a few years ago, as he states correctly. What he DID NOT say is they have worked on the 6th gen for several years before that! It isn't like they started working on the 6th gen two years ago! It was mostly DONE two years ago! While [MENTION=114416]Gecko[/MENTION]'s posts are informative they also contain supposition and don't tell the whole story. Whoever told you the 6th gen was not going to happen (why you bought an MDX) clearly knows very little.Great last few posts regarding your thoughts and possible conclusions regarding a possible 6th gen 4R. I am a longtime 4R owner (owned 5 so far). I had to switch over to an Acura MDX recently only because I was told the 6th gen was not in the works as of yet and I couldn't wait forever. If as of 2 years ago the next gen 4R was not green lighted, does it seem likely that a major redesign or refresh is several years out yet? I know 2017 is the "normal" cycle for the next 4runner but I believe the average time to do a major overhaul takes longer.
I too hope the 6th gen is out sooner than later! If they decide to utilize the new Tacoma 3.5L, that would be disappointing. Its a less powerful motor than the current 4.0L and the 4runner weighs more as well. My preference would be to see the current V6 gain Direct injection, Atkinson, and the 6sp auto.
Thanks!
Let me give you a bit of newsworthy information but take it as it is:
They are currently working on the 7th generation. Yep, as of right now they are working on the next iteration of the 4Runner. Here is the caveat: While they are working on the design now, over the next few years marketing and economic conditions will dictate whether there will be a 7th gen headed to production. There is a "go, no go" time frame on EVERY vehicle, usually 2-3 years before the launch of a new model that every manufacturer has to use. Some vehicles like the Camry or CR-V are so ingrained in the market that it is a continuing model development and very few major changes. Some of the smaller production run vehicles (under 100K/yr) need a more serious market evaluation before a new model is introduced.
The biggest problem I see reading threads like this is the general population's ignorance on timing. FYI: It takes a LONG time to design a new model of an existing vehicle and even longer time to design a completely new vehicle! Why? Design, manufacturing processes, product and parts procurement, tooling, etc. Here is a rough time table just so some of you understand:
For a mid cycle design refresh: 2-3 years
For a new model of an existing vehicle: 4-6 years
For a completely new model vehicle: 5-7 years
So, when the 5th gen was introduced in late 2009 it was STARTED in 2003!
When the 5th gen was introduced in late 2009 the 6th gen was already being designed!(!) Now that the 6th gen is coming (my estimate is we will see the prototype in Dec-Jan of 2015-2016) they have already put pencil to paper on the 7th gen! Do you guys understand this now?
With that said the OEM manufacturers CAN make minor changes in 6-12 months. Also even though the 7th gen is being designed it is in no way certain to be produced. Again, in three years or so there will be an evaluation of the market and economy to determine if it is a viable product in 2022 or so. Just remember it takes a LONG time to make molds, produce tooling, change assembly lines, set up vendors, procure raw materials and the other 1,000 things that need to happen before a new generation comes out. It's not magic. Hope this helps some of you.